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So the key qualitative facts are the following: First: higher transaction costs mean people want to hold more money.

Second: higher price levels and higher consumption mean people want to hold more money. Third: higher interest rates mean people want to hold less money.

But instead of using price as one of the axes, we use price level. For BTC, the supply in the Bitcoin Mutual Funds Inc run is pretty easy to figure out - 21 million.

There is of course a small probability that the Bitcoin system will collectively agree to allow inflation or a different number, but I'll ignore this for the moment. For USD, it's much more difficult. To figure out money supply, you need to guess the actions of the Federal Reserve over the long term.

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Since this post is about speculating on BTC, I won't bother to get into that. So the game to be played is matching the supply and demand curves.

Also, just so that we keep track of what this means in real world terms, a higher price level means that bitcoins are less valuable. What Macroeconomics tells us about demand for Bitcoins The first thing to note is that the larger the bitcoin economy is in real terms goods and services, represented by Ythe more valuable bitcoins become.

This is rather unsurprising.

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If no one uses bitcoins for anything, they are worthless, while if everyone uses them they are more valuable. The second and somewhat surprising investește acum în bitcoin is that the higher transaction costs are, the more valuable bitcoins are. But I'll try to give an intuitive explanation.

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In the US I carry very little cash. I can pay for nearly anything with a credit card, and then pay off my revolving debt Bitcoin Mutual Funds Inc. In India, I carry a lot - credit cards are nearly useless here, due to the higher transaction costs I need to pay foreign transaction fees.

Of course, this second fact is true only holding everything else in isolation. If transaction costs drop precipitously, it is likely that people will shift spending from dollars to bitcoins.

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This would result in a corresponding increase in Y. The last key property is that higher interest rates make bitcoins less valuable. Increase in bitcoin transactions reduces the amount of bitcoin hoarded in the system.

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This causes its price to fall. When the price hits a low, people start saving bitcoin, causing the price to go up again.